Thursday, August 09, 2007

UI Iowa Straw Poll pre-poll numbers: Paul hits 7%, McCain collapses into "third tier"

The latest UI polls frow

Aug 8 2007

As Straw Poll Approaches, Romney Soars, Giuliani Drops And McCain Collapses

Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney appears to have taken a commanding lead in Iowa among registered Republican voters and Republican caucus goers, according to a new University of Iowa poll released today, Wednesday, Aug. 8. Poll results also indicate that former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani has lost support, and support for Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., has collapsed well into the third tier of candidates.


Iowa Straw Poll

A sample of 222 people who were considered the most likely Republican caucus goers were asked a series of questions about the Aug. 11 Straw Poll in Ames.

Most -- 81.5 percent -- were aware of the straw poll; 18.5 percent were not. Of those who were aware, only 23.8 percent planned to attend, leaving a number too small to analyze with confidence for details of candidate support. However, about one-third of those planning to attend said they support Romney, 16 percent Tancredo, 12 percent Giuliani, 9 percent Brownback and 7 percent Rep. Ron Paul, R-Texas.

That's not bad at all for a candidate who just starting campaigning in Iowa two days ago. If he places 5th in the Ames Straw Poll as predicted here, he's well on his way into serious contention as a top tier candidate.

UPDATE: Here are more political spinmeisters sharing good vibes of the unstoppable Ron Paul campaign as it heads into this all-important weekend. RealClearPolitics notes that Paul is only one of two GOP candidates airing tv commercials in Iowa, and Evans/Novak says "Paul has garnered excellent spontaneous grassroots support at every turn, but this hasn't turned into more than a blip in polls or in media coverage. His fundraising, however, is surprising, and his breadth of support on the Internet is impressive. If he shows well in Ames, he could start garnering real media attention."

Here Paul shares the wisdom of liberty with a crowd of patrons at a Pizza place in Union County, Aug. 8:

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